By Asher and Michael Shamir Arian
Albany 1995 SUNY. 8vo., 326pp., index, published forums. VG, small scuff on entrance, no DJ.
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Extra resources for The Elections in Israel 1992
Example text
9). The 1992 shift was less along ethnic lines and more along issues, whereas the voters in 1977 who had chosen Labor in 1973 split by both << Chapter >> Home | TOC | Index Two Reversals: Why 1992 Was Not 1977 35 ethnicity and policy. Most of those who left Labor for Likud in 1977 were Sephardim (56 percent), while those who stayed with Labor and those who shifted to the DMC were predominantly Ashkenazim (only 25 and 15 percent Sephardi, respectively). Also the age and gender differences among the groups were more pronounced in 1977 compared to 1992, as seen by their size and statistical significance.
1). Although there was a large increase in the number of voters, the Likud vote decreased in both the relative and the absolute senses. Compared with that of 1988, the 1992 Likud vote decreased by 8 percent, from 709,305 to 651,229, reducing the party's parliamentary delegation from 40 seats in 1988 to 32 seats in 1992. Labor's delegation, on the other hand, grew from 39 to 44 seats, as its vote total swelled by a third, from 685,363 votes in 1988 to 906,810 votes in 1992. Labor's percentage of the vote grew faster than the electorate, as its percentage of the vote grew by fifteen points between 1988 and 1992.
5 presents the con-elations between the Labor/Likud vote and various demographic and issue variables. 4 along the columns, it is apparent that the twin issues of God and nationalism, always good predictors of the vote, have become more powerful over the years. For these issues, 1977 and 1992 do not stand out as critical years in the time series. On the state/religion issue, the trend of increasing con-elations is smooth over time. The identification of Labor as an anticlerical party has strengthened, while the Likud has played to the traditional sympathies of much of its voting base, even though the origins and ideology of the Likud are very secular, as Liebman and Don-Yehiya (1983) showed.