Download The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential by John Sides, Lynn Vavreck PDF

By John Sides, Lynn Vavreck

"Game changer." We heard it such a lot of occasions through the 2012 U.S. presidential election. yet what really made a distinction within the contest--and what used to be simply hype? during this groundbreaking e-book, John aspects and Lynn Vavreck inform the dramatic tale of the election--with a huge distinction. utilizing an strange "moneyball" method and drawing on wide quantitative facts, they appear past the anecdote, folklore, and standard knowledge that regularly go for election research to split what was once actually vital from what used to be inappropriate. The Gamble combines this knowledge with the simplest social technological know-how study and colourful on-the-ground reporting, supplying the main actual and distinctive account of the election but written--and the one publication of its kind.

In a brand new preface, the authors contemplate where of The Gamble within the culture of presidential election reviews, its reception to this point, and attainable paths for destiny social technology examine.

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Extra resources for The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election

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After that, the rumor became part of Kasich's journalistic background. A December 1996 gossip item in the Washington Post about Kasich's engagement to his second wife snidely asked if he and his aide would continue sharing their townhouse in Alexandria, Virginia, now that the congressman was getting hitched. While the item made no mention 26 Precedent of the rumor about Kasich, the reference was clear to politically savvy readers. 48 4. Drug or alcohol abuse that was a youthful indulgence or experimentation; also adult abuse at least a decade old, when the individual has fully recovered and clearly abandoned the harmful practices.

Thornberry, the woman with whom Romer later acknowledged a longtime "affectionate" relationship. Responding to a flurry of press questions generated by the GOP nominee's veiled, eleventh-hour swipe in a TV interview, the governor's staff released documents showing that he had already reimbursed the state for almost all of the calls. C. 03. Romer was reelected by a wide margin the following week. 33 PRIVATE LIFE SHIELDED FROM PUBLICATION AND BROADCAST 1. Nonlegal matters involving the candidate's underage children and also other family members, except to the extent that the relatives seek the limelight or influence the official.

In September 1995, the Ethics Committee recommended that the Senate expel the senator for sexual and official misconduct. Packwood resigned the next day. 19 Accusations about Bill Clinton raise similar questions about the president's sex life. The various sins he has acknowledged make him the very personification of compulsive and indiscreet sexual behavior in public office. Yet, in fairness, the evidence supporting some of the accusations against Clinton underscores the difficulties that journalists face in handling such charges.

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